Stability and Evolution

2025-05-30

Humans didn't evolve in steady conditions.
And neither did our economic behavior.

We're not wired for flat graphs and fixed yields.
We're wired for risk, reward, and adaptation.

1. Variable Rewards Hijack the Brain

Your dopaminergic system evolved to detect and respond to surprise -- not certainty.

Predictable = boring.
Volatile = attention-grabbing.

This is why slot machines are more addictive than paychecks.
Why shitcoins pull harder than bonds.
And why degens refresh charts at 2am.

Our brains evolved in an environment where unpredictability = signal.
Stability? That meant nothing new was happening, and that was risky in itself.

2. Evolution Didn't Select for Safety

Evolutionary economists like Arthur Robson and Rob Boyd have shown:

In variable environments, risk-taking behavior can produce higher fitness.

Think hunter-gatherers:

  • One tribe takes a dangerous path and finds a rich food source.
  • Another plays it safe and slowly starves in drought.

In economics, that same principle applies:

Optionality beats predictability.

You don't survive by being stable.
You survive by having asymmetric upside in chaotic conditions.

3. The Myth of Stability in Modern Markets

Today, we treat stability as a virtue:

  • Pegged currencies
  • Safe yields
  • 60/40 portfolios
  • "Trust the Fed"

But beneath the surface:

  • Treasuries are in drawdown.
  • USDC depegs under stress.
  • Governments are $36T in debt and still printing.

What we call "stability" is often a managed illusion!
An illusion propped up by policy tools, media narratives, and yield curve gymnastics.

It breaks when the system shifts faster than the controls can catch up.

4. Unstable Is Evolutionarily Coherent

Unstable doesn't fight this reality.

It doesn't simulate stability.
It doesn't promise false comfort.
It reflects what evolution, markets, and nature all confirm:

The world doesn't optimize for smoothness.
It optimizes for resilience through volatility.

Unstable isn't the failure mode;
it's the honest mode.

It's chaotic, adaptive, high-variance...
but that's exactly the kind of system evolution keeps selecting for.

Final Thought

Stablecoins give you peace of mind... until they don't.
Unstable gives you chaos... but never lies to you.

And in a world full of artificial pegs,
maybe the asset that embraces entropy
is the most natural one of all.

Not just as a meme.
But as a reflection of who we are.

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