We are Addicted to Stability. And it's Holding us Back

2025-06-01

From childhood, many of us are taught to chase one thing:

A stable income.
A stable job.
A stable life.

In many cultures, especially across Asia, stability becomes the dream.
The iron rice bowl. The salaryman ideal.
Safety becomes success.

But what starts as survival instinct becomes systemic pathology:
We fear uncertainty more than we value upside.


The Cost of Certainty

We avoid randomness even when the odds favor taking the chance.
We'd rather not lose $100 than take a 50% shot to win $101.
We reject smart bets because the path feels risky.

This is well-documented:

  • Prospect Theory (Kahneman & Tversky): Losses hurt more than gains feel good.
  • Risk Aversion: We prefer certain mediocrity over uncertain greatness.
  • Loss Sensitivity: One bad outcome can anchor our decisions for years.

Meanwhile, outliers like Sam Bankman-Fried took the opposite stance -- placing billion-dollar bets on "positive EV" trades with a 1% success rate.
(Worked out great.)

But most people live on the other extreme: trapped in fear, even when the math says go.


Stability Theater: Looks Safe, Breaks Fast

We engineer stability into everything:

  • Currency pegs
  • Treasury bonds
  • "Risk-free" savings
  • Capital controls
  • Regulatory backstops

All of it makes the system look calm.
Until it isn't.

Ask SVB depositors.
Ask countries that defended their pegs until the reserves ran dry.
Ask anyone holding "safe" bonds in a rising rate environment.

We mistake low volatility for low risk.
But the volatility never vanished. It just pooled. Waiting.


Systems That Flex, Survive

Real resilience doesn't mean eliminating chaos.
It means designing for it.

Think:

  • Portfolio theory (optimize for variance)
  • Diversification (embrace randomness)
  • Options markets (profit from volatility)

Even in biology, unstable strategies thrive:
The antelope that zigzags survives.
The organism that mutates adapts.

Evolution doesn't punish chaos. It rewards responsiveness.


Unstable = The Mirror

Unstable isn't just a meme coin.
It's a posture. A critique. A reminder.

Stablecoins? Pegged to debt-fueled fiat, backed by aging bonds, pretending to be "safe."
TradFi? Leveraged bets hidden under smooth narratives.
Crypto? Half the products are just wrappers around TradFi risk.

Unstable doesn't fix this.
It exposes it.

It doesn't promise yield.
It doesn't simulate fiat.
It doesn't whisper sweet nothings about being "fully backed."

It just says:

This system is unstable.
And pretending otherwise won't save you.


Final Thought

We've built entire markets trying to kill volatility.
But volatility never dies. It just goes off-balance sheet.
Until the day it snaps.

Unstable doesn't promise safety.
It promises honesty.

And in a world addicted to fake calm?

That might be the riskiest asset of all.
Or the most necessary one.

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